ALL THINGS BIG AND SMALL 2.0

  Bullion Star Singapore commissioned Asahi Refinimg of Japan to mint a 1 oz Silver bullion coin commemorating 2024 the year of the Dragon. This an investment grade no-VAT 999 fine silver coin. It is a beautiful coin which will show steady increase in premium over the Silver spot price.  In Chinese culture, the dragon embodies wealth, strength, and power. The Dragon is the fifth mythical animal of the Chinese Zodiac. Each twelve-year zodiac cycle also corresponds with one of the five traditional elements in Chinese astrology: Fire, Earth, Metal, Water, and for 2024 – Wood. The Wood Dragon is known for its stoic confidence, and its great zest for life and creativity. The obverse of the BullionStar 1 oz Silver Dragon – 2024 features a roaring dragon with an exquisite, frosted finish, on a field of interlocking six-point stars. The body of the dragon forms a figure of eight, symbolizing prosperity and luck. The left side of the field contains a Lenticular image security feature. ...

The Queen’s Beasts Collection consisting of 11 distinct 2 oz silver bullion coins was issued between 2016 and 2021. Each coin features a heraldic (coat of arms) animal representing the genealogy of Queen Elizabeth II and the British Royalty. The statues on which the coins are based stood in front of the annexe of Westminster Abbey for the Queen's coronation in 1953. The originals were later presented to the Canadian Museum of History, but replicas are now displayed at the Royal Botanical Gardens at Kew. The year beside the coin list below is the date of issue of the coin. 2016 The Lion of England The Lion of England is the crowned golden lion of England, which has been one of the supporters of the Royal Arms since the reign of Edward IV (1461–1483). It supports a shield showing the Arms of the United Kingdom as they have been since Queen Victoria's accession in 1837. In the first and last quarters of the shield are the arms of the House of Plantagenet, taken from the arms of Ri...

 The above image shows two heatmaps (one with a 104 week rolling window  to capture the correlation and the other with a 26-week rolling window) of economic and financial  market variables that are known to be correlated with the price of Silver. By looking at the change in the degree of correlation of each variable in the 26-week heatmap from the 104-week heatmap, we can get a sense of the probable directon of each variable in the next few weeks. Data & Method Frequency: Weekly (W-FRI). Transforms used before correlation: • Silver, S&P 500, Gold, Brent, USD proxy: weekly log returns • M2: weekly log change • 10Y Treasury yield: weekly first difference (percentage-point change) Heatmap coloring: Fisher z-transform z = atanh(r) applied to the correlation matrix for improved visual scaling near high |r|. Cell annotations show the raw Pearson correlation r for interpretability. Tickers / Series:  Yahoo Finance: SI=F (Silver), ^GSPC (S&P 500), GC=F (Gol...

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE? BUT THE MODEL PERFORMANCE DIAGNOSTICS ARE SO GOOD. (SEE LAST PARAGRAPH BELOW) WE SHALL SEE, WE SHALL SEE. EVEN IF Q50 IS ACHIEVED I AM SET FOR LIFE!   The most immediate impact of the current USA/Israel-Iran war has been the sharp rise in oil and LNG prices as Iran closes the Straits of Hormuz. According to the latest announcements by the US, Israel as well as the Iran governments, the war may likely continue for at least a few weeks or even a few months. I want to see if I can model the impact of changes in the macroeconomic environment which the war will inevitably cause, on gold and silver prices in 60 days from now.  This is a departure from my usual models using just XAUUSD, XAGUSD price data. The macroeconomic variables input variables are:  1. Inflation (FRED Core PCE) 2. The US Dollar (FRED nominal broad dollar Index DTWEXBGS 3. 10 -year Treasury yields 4. Equities (stock market) S&P500 The impact on gold and silver prices will dep...

  The media is reporting that investors are showing heightened interest in Gold, Silver and Platinum as alternatives to savings deposits, annuities and stocks. Here is a primer.  Gold, silver, and platinum are classified as precious metals because they are naturally occurring elements defined by three primary criteria: rarity, high economic value, and chemical resistance (for various industrial ushes). GOLD (XAUUSD) -Current Price: $5,108.25 USD (as of Feb 20, 2026) -Reserves: Relatively scarce; estimated 50,000 metric tons of economically viable reserves remaining globally - Mining: Primarily mined directly from gold ore deposits through open-pit and underground mining; also recovered from placer deposits - Top Producer: China (approximately 11% of global production), followed by Australia and Russia) - Investment Role: Premier safe-haven asset, inflation hedge, currency debasement protection, central bank reserve asset, portfolio diversification - Industrial Usage: Electroni...

A big thank you to EODHD.com for the data of XAUUSD and XAGUSD. Quality data at affordable price.   In times of uncertainty, investors turn to Gold. But spot Gold is now around USD4000 per troy ounce. On my trip down to www.indigopreciousmetals.com to buy bullion, I saw many people now buying Silver. Old folks, rich Indonesians and rich Indians. Why? Silver is not a Central Banks reserve currency like Gold, but it also has many industrial uses: See screenshot below. Besides the price of silver is only USD52 per troy ounce. XAU is Gold spot price XAG is Silver spot price. The 40 days ahead median forecast price for XAU is USD4208 and for XAG is 53.46. See charts below. [for methodology on Quantile Forecasts using Gradient-Boosted Decision Trees see previous recent posts on this blog ]. What is interesting is that proportionally speaking XAG has more potential than XAU. (The redline of XAG sits nearer the top of the green forecast band box.) And so if you look at the third chart be...