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Historic Uncertainty Level: Global Economy as Complex Adaptive System

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  The image above plots the Global Economic Policy Index from 1997 to Mar 2025. The Index is compiled by https://www.policyuncertainty.com/about.html an econmic research institute. Its methodology can be obtained from its website.  We can clearly see that the ups and downs are getting increasingly extreme. You can see it when you compare the height of the peaks registered during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, the 2008 US Sub-Prime Mortage Melt-Down, the 2020 Covid-19 Pandemic, and the recent MAGA Madness.  The reason for greater and greater bouts of Uncertainty volatily is that as countries of the word become more and more interconnected through technology and trade, the world economy becomes a SuperOrganism with a life of its own- a.ka. A Complex Adaptive System (CAS). The properties of a CAS are feedback loops, adaptation and co-evolution, emergent behaviour, decentralization and distributed control etc. The full list of properties is given below.  Another r...

Emergence: The Whole Is Greater Than The Sum Of It's Parts

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ATTENTION! INTELLECTUALS You can take a Personality Test and get the result like I did below. Just click on the links. My Personality Test Result INTJ - "Mastermind". Introverted intellectual with a preference for finding certainty. A builder of systems and the applier of theoretical models. 2.1% of total population. Free Jung Personality Test (similar to Myers-Briggs/MBTI) This wonderful image above, from Richard Seel of New Paradigm Organization Consulting http://www.new-paradigm.co.uk gives a clear insight into the nature of Emergence. Emergence is a property that occurs in most Complex Systems, from stock markets, to Cities, Ant Colonies, Chemical Reactions, Hurricanes and even to Computer generated Cellular Automata. Kevin Mihata describes Emergence as " the process by which patterns or global-level structures arise from interactive local-level processes. This "structure" or "pattern" cannot be understood or predicted from the behavior or prop...