Spot Silver Updated Forecast till 31 Dec 2025 plus Strategy and Risk Metrics
Note: Data as at 10 December 2025 Silver spot price has been running ahead of our forecasts due to: (1) we do not have true picture of Comex, LBMA breakdown due to sparsityof data. (2) We do not have availablale good quality data of Industrial demand for Silver (3) China's role and actions are very important but their shadowy presence is hard to quantify. Neverthless, the table and strategy below will be useful: Table is self-explanatory: you can follow and monitor this day by day. Target Probabilities Strategic Assessment Current Position: Current Price: $61.91 Return Profile (20 days) Median: +4.6% Upside (Q90): +15.6% Downside (Q10): -5.9% Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.64:1 Key Probabilities Profit (any gain): 72.1% Gain >10%: 26.5% Loss >5%: 11.9% Risk Metrics Median max drawdown: -5.0% Worst 10% scenarios: -10.4% Investment Strategy Bullish Case (72% probability): The 2.64:1 risk/reward ratio is attractive. Silver already broke through $60 resistance, and momentum supports the m...