11 July Weekly Update: Gold and Silver models

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Weekly update is the output of the Gold/Silver trinity of models: 1. GS-GBDT which is a price momentum and autoregression model, 2. GS-DXY Monitor which is a model of the DXY Index and its correlation with Gold and Silver prices, 3. GS-Real Yields Monitor which tracks real yield of Treasuries (Nominal interest rate minus Rate of inflation) and its impact on Gold and silver prices. The tables and charts here are mostly self-explanatory but one thing to note: Since I am a long-term holder of Gold and silver I treat extreme bearish signals ("Strong Reduce" in model signals) as a deeply oversold reading and an invitation to buy; due to the fundamentals underpinning Gold and Silver. 

For technical details and methodology of models see:

https://ngtiankhean.blogspot.com/2026/07/the-finalized-trinity-of-models-for.html

https://ngtiankhean.blogspot.com/2026/07/the-finalized-trinity-of-models-for_01846758995.html

https://ngtiankhean.blogspot.com/2026/07/the-finalized-trinity-of-models-for_01340041900.html









For DXY early signals, look for cross up over -0.30 Divergence threshold




For early signal on real yield, look for red area above zero to reverse into green area below zero.




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